Premier Wen Jiabao in Wuhan Research speech, that the capital market of the real estate vision reproduction. More and more people begin to anticipate, real estate policy does not further tightening. Over the next few days, A stock market houseThe real estate sectorBecome a capital inflow concentration region. At the same time, the local government financial pressure, followed by all the real estate policy fine-tuning of become a common practice.The weak economy market expectations of control.In late May, the A stock market a dark green, real estate plate continuous inflow. According to Wind information and statistics show that in May 23rd, with more than 330000000 funds into the plate. In Shen million industry level classification of 23 tectonic plates, the only 3 plates having inflow of funds, in addition to the real estate sector, with the closely related building materials industry also has 370000000 yuan of capital inflow. In May 22nd, also has nearly 650000000 yuan of capital inflows, coupled with the building materials industry 390000000 yuan of funds, real estate became the capital flow up to the plate.YieldInvestmentAre ready to source from May 18th to 20, Premier Wen Jiabao in Wuhan Research and chaired the six province economic situation informal discussion speech, Wen Jiabao pointed out, to stabilize the real estate market regulation and control policy, the strict implementation of differential housing credit, tax policy and the purchase policy, take effective measures to increase the ordinary commercial housing supply, continue to advance the protection of housing construction, to promote the steady and healthy development of real estate market.From the beginning of the year up to now, Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao on the regulation of the property market had 4 public speech, the first and second focus on promptingHouse pricesThe rational regression; third times referred to regulation, mainly referred to not let regulation again. The reference to ?increase the ordinary commercial housing supply?, let the investor anticipated increase.?Real estate and infrastructure investment exist in the field of policy fine-tuning space.? National Information Center for Economic Forecasting Department DirectorFan JianpingThink, if the full relaxation will lead to the control results before waste all the previous efforts, but the real estate should be ?directional tuning?. In the inhibition of investment, speculative demand at the same time, the first suite just need and sell the old buy new needs to improve, in the areas of credit should be given to support.More and more indications, ?steady economy? is becoming more and more obvious. AprilMacro dataGenerally lower than expected, in which industrial production growth rate slowed to 9.3%. This is since 2009 the lowest level since May. At the same time the industrial production to some extent by weak exports continued to decline in influence, especially exports to emerging economies.On the other hand, the real estate in affect regulation, investment and development areas of atrophy is much higher than the purchase market. In 2012 1 ~ April data show, real estate development investment grew 18.7%, lower than the same period of two years for the first time in more than 20.2% of the fixed asset investment growth, the future trend of fall after a rise will continue; new construction area dropped 4.2% compared to the same period, construction area grew 21.2%, this was 2009 since second half of the year the new low.Real estate in the capital market performance to industry recovery, data shows, 2012 first half of the yearReal estate stocksOnce again become the most eye-catching performance of the plate. As of May 22nd, Shenzhen real estate index is up 25.03% this year, become the largest increase industry index, the real estate index also rose by nearly 22%. In 2012, the fund?s shares of real estate investment significantly warmer, a quarter of the fund large-scale holdings property stocks accounted for nearly 20000000000 Yuan, net assets increased from 4.9% to 6.47%.Fiscal pressure increased the fine-tuning of steady economySome analysts believe that, in this context, the government may in part of the market ahead of the implementation of efforts to moderate easing. Following the Yangzhou finance subsidy essenceRenovationLiaoning Yingkou issued housing, civil servants and institution personnel 50000 yuan purchase subsidies, May 22nd, market and that Fujian will allow nonlocal registered permanent residence in FujianHome. Subsequently the Fuzhou Housing Authority denied this rumor. But throughout the various types of policy ?fine-tuning? rumours or can be heard without end. ?Unless the government ignore the economy as a whole, or on the real estate policy relaxation is inevitable.? Citibank?s latest research report, the government inside year will focus on the impact of policies on the basis of the purchase, relaxation of second home-buyer?s mortgage loan provisions.Analysts is judged on increasing local finance pressure. Guangzhou Municipal Bureau of finance of Guangzhou announced in May 22nd 2012 1 ? April financial general budget implementation is shown, the first 4 months of this year Guangzhou general budget revenue was 31215000000 yuan, year-on-year growth of only 2.48%, the tax revenue for 4 consecutive months of negative growth, but the ?real estate sales? business tax from last year has been 7 consecutive months of year-on-year decline.?Guangzhou city finance income situation is very severe.? Guangzhou City Finance Bureau rare to make such conclusion, its finance income finishs the progress is very not ideal, but only the 29.28% annual budget. And real estate tax, business tax 1312000000 yuan, drops 23.54% compared to the same period; reduction of more than 400000000 yuan. Deed tax income 1400000000 yuan, drop compared to the same period 22.79%, reduction of 413000000 yuan;LandValue added tax income 860000000 yuan, drop compared to the same period 20.74%, reduction of 225000000 yuan. And income decrease ceaselessly, expenditure is steadily rising. Data shows, the first 4 months of this year, the city?s financial budgetary defray 36186000000 yuan, grow 27.77% compared to the same period.Guangzhou is not isolated cases, the provincial government announced fiscal data display, finance income growth rate dropped significantly. In 2012 one quarter of the Chongqing revenue growth of 11.3%, a year ago this data up to 75.9%. Beijing, Shanghai increases fast fall after a rise in more than 30 percentage points, of which Beijing grew only 1.6%, the lowest. The country?s 31 provinces, 27 quarter revenue growth rate of decline.For carrying the low-income housing and other large public spending by local governments, ?fine-tuning? real estate policy to stop the momentum of the economic downturn has become the reality choice. Although the beginning of the year to fine-tune the Foshan, Wuhu were immediately stopped, but enter May, place of all sorts of ?fine-tuning? attempt to scale seemed to relax. From Beijing, Hangzhou, Chengdu, implementation of land policy, to Wuhan, Shanghai for ordinary housing price standard adjustment, and then to Hefei, Nanjing, Changzhou, Wuhu and other places to relax provident fund loan amount, as of May 10th, a total of 33 local government building regulation of fine-tuning, fine-tuning involves restriction policy change, land transfer, ordinary residential standards, preferential tax and housing subsidies, 28 of which have not been stopped. And was conducted in 5, mainly involving the purchase policy to become loose.Early Yangzhou appeared to rescue the city new regulations, individual purchase of new housing decoration according to different area to 4 ? ? 6 ? award. Although the market for this policy continued to be suspicious, but is beyond expectation, the policy did not be stopped,Department of housing and urbanResidential industrialization promotion center director Liang Xiaoqing even said, the policy to rescue the market, but the residential industrialization active beneficial exploration.
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